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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

Vitesse vs RKC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score2–1VitesseRKC
Expected goals3.27Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 25% / 36%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapVitesse winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vitesse win39%2.562.4039%0.0 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.7525%0.0 pp
RKC win36%2.782.6036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vitesse1.77

Hemma share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals3.27Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

RKC1.50

Borta share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Vitesse

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

RKC

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.77
Expected goals
1.50
VitesseRKC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vitesse signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02RKC signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Vitesse vs RKC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vitesse vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 25%,RKC vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över