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NLD Tarile de Jos - Eerste Divisie · Meci ·

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.84 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde29%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți43%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți43% selection probability
Projected score1–2MaastrichtFC Utrecht - Rezerve
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste54% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
29% / 28% / 43%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Șansă dublă1272.3%1.38
Peste 54% · Sub 46%Goals 2.5Peste54%1.85
Da 57% · Nu 43%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa57%1.75
2.84 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Maastricht win29%3.45
Egal28%3.57
FC Utrecht - Rezerve win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maastricht1.18

Gazde share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 54% · Sub 46%

FC Utrecht - Rezerve1.66

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 57% · Nu 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Maastricht

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht - Rezerve

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Câștig probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.18
Expected goals
1.66
MaastrichtFC Utrecht - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maastricht signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht - Rezerve signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maastricht vs FC Utrecht - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maastricht câștig 29%,Egal 28%,FC Utrecht - Rezerve câștig 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Peste 2.5 54% · Current selection Peste