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NLD Países Bajos - Eerste Divisie · Partido ·

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local27%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante46%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante46% selection probability
Projected score1–2Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
27% / 27% / 46%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Doble Oportunidad1273%1.37
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 57% · No 43%Ambos equipos marcan57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Helmond Sport win27%3.70
Empate27%3.70
De Graafschap win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Helmond Sport1.16

Local share of expected goals 39.5%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

De Graafschap1.78

Visitante share of expected goals 60.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Helmond Sport

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

De Graafschap

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganado probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.16
Expected goals
1.78
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Helmond Sport signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02De Graafschap signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Helmond Sport ganada 27%,Empate 27%,De Graafschap ganada 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de