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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
BEL België - Eerste klasse A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst26%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 30% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Dubbele Kans1X73.7%1.36
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
11.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Charleroi win44%2.27
Gelijkspel30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Thuis share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Uit share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 30%,OH Leuven gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder