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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu59% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 30% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Cơ hội kép1X73.7%1.36
Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%Goals 2.5Xỉu59%1.69
Có 45% · Không 55%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
11.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Charleroi win44%2.27
Hòa30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Khách share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · Không 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalKhông recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi thắng 44%,Hòa 30%,OH Leuven thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Tài 2.5 41% · Current selection Xỉu