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BEL Belgia - First Division A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy44%
Remis30%
Wygrana gości26%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
44% / 30% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Podwójna szansa1X73.7%1.36
Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%Goals 2.5Poniżej59%1.69
Tak 45% · Nie 55%Obie drużyny strzeląNie55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
11.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Charleroi win44%2.27
Remis30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Gospodarze share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Goście share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi wygrana 44%,Remis 30%,OH Leuven wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Powyżej 2.5 41% · Current selection Poniżej