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BEL Βέλγιο - Πρώτη Κατηγορία Α · Round 1 ·

Σαρλερουά vs OH Λέουβεν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου44%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου44% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣαρλερουάOH Λέουβεν
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
44% / 30% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Λέουβεν win (26.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.7%1.36
Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%Goals 2.5Κάτω59%1.69
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
11.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σαρλερουά win44%2.27
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
OH Λέουβεν win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σαρλερουά1.42

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%

OH Λέουβεν0.89

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σαρλερουά

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

OH Λέουβεν

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΌχι recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
ΣαρλερουάOH Λέουβεν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σαρλερουά signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Λέουβεν signalΌχι recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Σαρλερουά vs OH Λέουβεν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σαρλερουά νίκη 44%,Ισοπαλία 30%,OH Λέουβεν νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Άνω 2.5 41% · Current selection Κάτω