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BEL Belgique - 1re Division A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile44%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur26%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
44% / 30% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Double chance1X73.7%1.36
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Charleroi win44%2.27
Nul30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Domicile share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Extérieur share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi victoire 44%,Nul 30%,OH Leuven victoire 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de