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BEL Belgique - 1re Division A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint-Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur52%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur52% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint-Gilloise
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 25% / 52%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (23.3%)Double chanceX276.7%1.30
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 37% · Non 63%Les deux équipes marquentNon63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win23%4.353.7524.1%-1.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Union Saint-Gilloise win52%1.921.7551.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Domicile share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Union Saint-Gilloise1.47

Extérieur share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 37% · Non 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Union Saint-Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
52%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Saint-Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint-Gilloise signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint-Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo victoire 23%,Nul 25%,Union Saint-Gilloise victoire 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de