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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw25%
Away win52%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win52% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 25% / 52%Match resultAway win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (23.3%)Double chanceX276.7%1.30
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win23%4.353.7524.1%-1.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Union Saint Gilloise win52%1.921.7551.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Home share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Union Saint Gilloise1.47

Away share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
52%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint Gilloise signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo win 23%,Draw 25%,Union Saint Gilloise win 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under