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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw27%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zulte-WaregemGenk
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 27% / 36%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Zulte-Waregem win37%2.70
Draw27%3.70
Genk win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zulte-Waregem1.54

Home share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Genk1.50

Away share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zulte-Waregem

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
1.50
Zulte-WaregemGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zulte-Waregem signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zulte-Waregem win 37%,Draw 27%,Genk win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over