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BEL 比利時甲級聯賽A · Round 1 ·

威尔郡 vs 根克

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝37%
27%
客勝36%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝37% selection probability
Projected score2–1威尔郡根克
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.559% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
37% / 27% / 36%比賽結果主勝37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)雙重機會1272.6%1.38
大 59% · 小 41%Goals 2.559%1.69
是 61% · 否 39%雙方進球61%1.64
3.04 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.7 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
威尔郡 win37%2.70
27%3.70
根克 win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

威尔郡1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 59% · 41%

根克1.50

客隊 share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 61% · 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

威尔郡

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

根克

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
贏 probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
1.50
威尔郡根克
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01威尔郡 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02根克 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

威尔郡 vs 根克 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

威尔郡 37%, 27%,根克 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · 大2.5 59% · Current selection