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BEL België - Eerste klasse A · Round 1 ·

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.04 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst36%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zulte-WaregemGenk
Expected goals3.04Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 27% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dubbele Kans1272.6%1.38
Boven 59% · Onder 41%Goals 2.5Boven59%1.69
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.04 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Zulte-Waregem win37%2.70
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Genk win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zulte-Waregem1.54

Thuis share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals3.04Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 59% · Onder 41%

Genk1.50

Uit share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Zulte-Waregem

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Genk

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
11
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
1.50
Zulte-WaregemGenk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zulte-Waregem signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genk signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Zulte-Waregem vs Genk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zulte-Waregem gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 27%,Genk gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.04 · Boven 2.5 59% · Current selection Boven