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BEL België - Eerste klasse A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Sint-Gillis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst21%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst49%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Sint-Gillis
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
21% / 30% / 49%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (20.7%)Dubbele KansX279.3%1.26
Boven 35% · Onder 65%Goals 2.5Onder65%1.54
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Westerlo win21%4.76
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Union Sint-Gillis win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Thuis share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 35% · Onder 65%

Union Sint-Gillis1.47

Uit share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Union Sint-Gillis

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Sint-Gillis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Sint-Gillis signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Sint-Gillis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo gewonnen 21%,Gelijkspel 30%,Union Sint-Gillis gewonnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Boven 2.5 35% · Current selection Onder