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BEL Belgien - First Division A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger53%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger53% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 24% / 53%MatchresultatBortaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (22.4%)DubbelchansX277.6%1.29
Över 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win22%4.553.9023.1%-1.1 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Union Saint Gilloise win53%1.891.7052.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Hemma share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 35% · Under 65%

Union Saint Gilloise1.47

Borta share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint Gilloise signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 24%,Union Saint Gilloise vunnen 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Över 2.5 35% · Current selection Under