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BEL Belgien - First Division A · Match ·

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger34%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 26% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dubbelchans1274%1.35
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.1%Largest probability gapStandard Liege winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Standard Liege win40%2.502.3039.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.5026%0.0 pp
Cercle Brugge win34%2.942.6334.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Standard Liege1.52

Hemma share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

Cercle Brugge1.23

Borta share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Standard Liege

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Cercle Brugge

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
1.23
Standard LiegeCercle Brugge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Standard Liege signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cercle Brugge signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Standard Liege vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 26%,Cercle Brugge vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över