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BEL Белгия - Първа Дивизия А · Мач ·

Стандард Лиеж vs Серкъл Брюж

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен28%
Победа за госта31%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score2–1Стандард ЛиежСеркъл Брюж
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 28% / 31%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Двоен шанс1271.7%1.39
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Стандард Лиеж win40%2.50
Равен28%3.57
Серкъл Брюж win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Стандард Лиеж1.52

Домакин share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Серкъл Брюж1.23

Гост share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Стандард Лиеж

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Серкъл Брюж

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.52
Expected goals
1.23
Стандард ЛиежСеркъл Брюж
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Стандард Лиеж signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серкъл Брюж signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Стандард Лиеж vs Серкъл Брюж FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Стандард Лиеж печеливш 40%,Равен 28%,Серкъл Брюж печеливш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над