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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır22%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır53%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt65% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
22% / 24% / 53%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (22.4%)Çifte ŞansX277.6%1.29
Üst 35% · Alt 65%Goals 2.5Alt65%1.54
Evet 37% · Hayır 63%Karşılıklı gol varHayır63%1.59
2.10 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win22%4.553.9023.1%-1.1 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Union Saint Gilloise win53%1.891.7052.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 30.5%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 35% · Alt 65%

Union Saint Gilloise1.46

Deplasman share of expected goals 69.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 37% · Hayır 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.46
WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint Gilloise signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo kazanç 22%,Beraberlik 24%,Union Saint Gilloise kazanç 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · 2.5 Üst 35% · Current selection Alt