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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Gent vs KV Mechelen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır42%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score2–1GentKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
42% / 29% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Çifte Şans1271.4%1.40
Üst 49% · Alt 51%Goals 2.5Alt51%1.96
Evet 53% · Hayır 47%Karşılıklı gol varEvet53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.0 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Gent win42%2.38
Beraberlik29%3.45
KV Mechelen win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gent1.52

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 49% · Alt 51%

KV Mechelen1.10

Deplasman share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 53% · Hayır 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Gent

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.52
Expected goals
1.10
GentKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gent signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gent vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gent kazanç 42%,Beraberlik 29%,KV Mechelen kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · 2.5 Üst 49% · Current selection Alt