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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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BEL Belgium - 1. osztály A · Round 1 ·

Gent vs KV Mechelen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem42%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem29%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem42% selection probability
Projected score2–1GentKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
42% / 29% / 29%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dupla esély1271.4%1.40
Felett 49% · Alatt 51%Goals 2.5Alatt51%1.96
Igen 53% · Nem 47%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Gent win42%2.38
Döntetlen29%3.45
KV Mechelen win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gent1.52

Hazai share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 49% · Alatt 51%

KV Mechelen1.10

Vendég share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 53% · Nem 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Gent

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Nyert probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.52
Expected goals
1.10
GentKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gent signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gent vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gent nyer 42%,Döntetlen 29%,KV Mechelen nyer 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · 2.5 felett 49% · Current selection Alatt