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BEL ベルギー ファーストディビジョンA · Round 1 ·

ヘント vs KVメヘレン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score2–1ヘントKVメヘレン
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 29% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)ダブルチャンス1271.4%1.40
オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%Goals 2.5アンダー51%1.96
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.62 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ヘント win42%2.38
引き分け29%3.45
KVメヘレン win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヘント1.52

ホーム share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 49% · アンダー 51%

KVメヘレン1.10

アウェイ share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヘント

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

KVメヘレン

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.52
Expected goals
1.10
ヘントKVメヘレン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヘント signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KVメヘレン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ヘント vs KVメヘレン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヘント 勝ち 42%,引き分け 29%,KVメヘレン 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · オーバー 2.5 49% · Current selection アンダー