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BEL Belgie - První divize A · Round 1 ·

Gent vs KV Mechelen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.62 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích42%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích42% selection probability
Projected score2–1GentKV Mechelen
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně51% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
42% / 29% / 29%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dvojitá šance1271.4%1.40
Více 49% · Méně 51%Goals 2.5Méně51%1.96
Ano 53% · Ne 47%Oba týmy skórujíAno53%1.89
2.62 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Gent win42%2.38
Remíza29%3.45
KV Mechelen win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gent1.52

Domácí share of expected goals 58%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 49% · Méně 51%

KV Mechelen1.10

Hosté share of expected goals 42%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 53% · Ne 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Gent

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

KV Mechelen

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.52
Expected goals
1.10
GentKV Mechelen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gent signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KV Mechelen signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gent vs KV Mechelen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gent výhra 42%,Remíza 29%,KV Mechelen výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Více 2.5 49% · Current selection Méně