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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa23%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite52%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite52% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto65% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
23% / 25% / 52%Esito partitaVittoria ospite52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (23.3%)Doppia ChanceX276.7%1.30
Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%Goals 2.5Sotto65%1.54
Sì 37% · No 63%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win23%4.353.7524.1%-1.1 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Union Saint Gilloise win52%1.921.7551.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Casa share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 35% · Sotto 65%

Union Saint Gilloise1.47

Trasferta share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vinta probability excluding draw
52%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint Gilloise signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo vinta 23%,Pareggio 25%,Union Saint Gilloise vinta 52%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Sopra 2.5 35% · Current selection Sotto