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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Round 1 ·

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite32%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sint-TruidenseLommel
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 26% / 32%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppia Chance1274%1.35
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sint-Truidense win42%2.38
Pareggio26%3.85
Lommel win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sint-Truidense1.43

Casa share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

Lommel1.21

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.43
Expected goals
1.21
Sint-TruidenseLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sint-Truidense signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sint-Truidense vinta 42%,Pareggio 26%,Lommel vinta 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto