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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier32%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sint-TruidenseLommel
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 26% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dobbel sjanse1274%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Sint-Truidense win42%2.38
Uavgjort26%3.85
Lommel win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sint-Truidense1.42

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Lommel1.22

Borte share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Spilt3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.42
Expected goals
1.22
Sint-TruidenseLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sint-Truidense signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sint-Truidense vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 26%,Lommel vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under