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BEL Belgique - 1re Division A · Round 1 ·

Saint Trond vs Lommel

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Saint TrondLommel
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 26% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Saint Trond win42%2.38
Nul26%3.85
Lommel win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saint Trond1.42

Domicile share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Lommel1.22

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Saint Trond

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Joués3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.42
Expected goals
1.22
Saint TrondLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saint Trond signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Saint Trond vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saint Trond victoire 42%,Nul 26%,Lommel victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de