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BEL Belgium First Division A · Round 1 ·

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng42%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng32%
Baseline forecastChủ nhà thắngTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sint-TruidenseLommel
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu51% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
42% / 26% / 32%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Cơ hội kép1274%1.35
Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%Goals 2.5Xỉu51%1.96
Có 53% · Không 47%Cả hai đội ghi bàn53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Sint-Truidense win42%2.38
Hòa26%3.85
Lommel win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sint-Truidense1.42

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 49% · Xỉu 51%

Lommel1.22

Khách share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 53% · Không 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Số trận3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Thắng probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.42
Expected goals
1.22
Sint-TruidenseLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sint-Truidense signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sint-Truidense thắng 42%,Hòa 26%,Lommel thắng 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Tài 2.5 49% · Current selection Xỉu