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BEL Belgio - Prima divisione A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 30% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Doppia Chance1X73.7%1.36
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
11.2 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Charleroi win44%2.27
Pareggio30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Casa share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Trasferta share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi vinta 44%,Pareggio 30%,OH Leuven vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto