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BEL Belgia 1. divisjon A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit44%
Viik30%
Võõrsilvõit26%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla59% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
44% / 30% / 26%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Topeltvõimalus1X73.7%1.36
Üle 41% · Alla 59%Goals 2.5Alla59%1.69
Jah 45% · Ei 55%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
11.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Charleroi win44%2.27
Viik30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Kodu share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 41% · Alla 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Võõras share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 45% · Ei 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalEi recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Võit probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalEi recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi võit 44%,Viik 30%,OH Leuven võit 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Üle 2.5 41% · Current selection Alla