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BEL Bélgica - 1.ª Divisão A · Round 1 ·

Charleroi vs OH Leuven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1CharleroiOH Leuven
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 30% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OH Leuven win (26.3%)Dupla Chance1X73.7%1.36
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 45% · Não 55%Ambas as equipes marcamNão55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
11.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Charleroi win44%2.27
Empate30%3.33
OH Leuven win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charleroi1.42

Mandante share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

OH Leuven0.89

Visitante share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 45% · Não 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Charleroi

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

OH Leuven

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CharleroiOH Leuven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charleroi signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OH Leuven signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Charleroi vs OH Leuven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charleroi ganhou 44%,Empate 30%,OH Leuven ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo