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BEL Belgien - 1. division A · Round 1 ·

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr22%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr53%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr53% selection probability
Projected score1–1WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
22% / 24% / 53%KampresultatUdesejr53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Westerlo win (22.4%)DobbeltchanceX277.6%1.29
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Begge hold scorerNej63%1.59
2.11 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapWesterlo winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Westerlo win22%4.553.9023.1%-1.1 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Union Saint Gilloise win53%1.891.7052.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Westerlo0.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 30.3%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Union Saint Gilloise1.47

Ude share of expected goals 69.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Westerlo

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Union Saint Gilloise

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vundet probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.64
Expected goals
1.47
WesterloUnion Saint Gilloise
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Westerlo signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Union Saint Gilloise signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Westerlo vundet 22%,Uafgjort 24%,Union Saint Gilloise vundet 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under