Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 30% / 30%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (30.1%)Double chance1X69.9%1.43
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win39%2.562.2540%-1.0 pp
Draw30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Al Gharraf win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 51.2%
Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%
Away share of expected goals 48.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAl Minaa
WDDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchAl Gharraf
WDLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
30%9
Points from supplied form
80.86
Expected goals
0.82Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Minaa win 39%，Draw 30%，Al Gharraf win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.68 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under。