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INT Irak - Stars League · Spiel ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter76% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 30% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (26.2%)Doppelte Chance1X73.8%1.36
Über 24% · Unter 76%Goals 2.5Unter76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Heim share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 24% · Unter 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 30%,Al Gharraf Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Über 2.5 24% · Current selection Unter