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INT Iraq Stars League · Kamp ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier39%
Uavgjort30%
Borteseier30%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
39% / 30% / 30%KampresultatHjemmeseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (30.1%)Dobbel sjanse1X69.9%1.43
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nei 67%Begge lag scorerNei67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win39%2.562.2540%-1.0 pp
Uavgjort30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Al Gharraf win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Borte share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nei 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa vunnet 39%,Uavgjort 30%,Al Gharraf vunnet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under