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INT Iraq Stars League · Trận đấu ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu76% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 30% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (26.2%)Cơ hội kép1X73.8%1.36
Tài 24% · Xỉu 76%Goals 2.5Xỉu76%1.32
Có 33% · Không 67%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Hòa30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 24% · Xỉu 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Khách share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · Không 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa thắng 44%,Hòa 30%,Al Gharraf thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Tài 2.5 24% · Current selection Xỉu