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INT Irak - Stars League · Wedstrijd ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst44%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst26%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder76% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
44% / 30% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (26.2%)Dubbele Kans1X73.8%1.36
Boven 24% · Onder 76%Goals 2.5Onder76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nee 67%Beide teams scorenNee67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Thuis share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 24% · Onder 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Uit share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nee 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa gewonnen 44%,Gelijkspel 30%,Al Gharraf gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Boven 2.5 24% · Current selection Onder