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INT Ирак - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Аль-Минаа vs Аль-Гхарраф

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аль-МинааАль-Гхарраф
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше76% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 30% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Аль-Гхарраф win (26.2%)Двойной шанс1X73.8%1.36
Больше 24% · Меньше 76%Goals 2.5Меньше76%1.32
Да 33% · Нет 67%Обе забьютНет67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapАль-Минаа winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аль-Минаа win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Ничья30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Аль-Гхарраф win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аль-Минаа0.86

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 24% · Меньше 76%

Аль-Гхарраф0.82

Гости share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Нет 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аль-Минаа

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Аль-Гхарраф

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Аль-МинааАль-Гхарраф
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аль-Минаа signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Аль-Гхарраф signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Аль-Минаа vs Аль-Гхарраф FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аль-Минаа выигрыш 44%,Ничья 30%,Аль-Гхарраф выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · ТБ 2.5 24% · Current selection Меньше