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INT 伊拉克Stars聯賽 · 比賽 ·

阿爾米納 vs 艾爾蓋拉夫

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝44%
30%
客勝26%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝44% selection probability
Projected score1–1阿爾米納艾爾蓋拉夫
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.576% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
44% / 30% / 26%比賽結果主勝44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 艾爾蓋拉夫 win (26.2%)雙重機會1X73.8%1.36
大 24% · 小 76%Goals 2.576%1.32
是 33% · 否 67%雙方進球67%1.49
1.68 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gap阿爾米納 winDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿爾米納 win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
艾爾蓋拉夫 win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿爾米納0.86

主隊 share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 24% · 76%

艾爾蓋拉夫0.82

客隊 share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿爾米納

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

艾爾蓋拉夫

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
贏 probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
阿爾米納艾爾蓋拉夫
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿爾米納 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02艾爾蓋拉夫 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

阿爾米納 vs 艾爾蓋拉夫 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿爾米納 44%, 30%,艾爾蓋拉夫 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · 大2.5 24% · Current selection