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INT Irak - Stars League · Partido ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 30% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (26.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.8%1.36
Más de 24% · Menos de 76%Goals 2.5Menos de76%1.32
Sí 33% · No 67%Ambos equipos marcanNo67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Local share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 24% · Menos de 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Visitante share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa ganada 44%,Empate 30%,Al Gharraf ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Más de 2.5 24% · Current selection Menos de