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INT Iraque - Stars League · Partida ·

Al Minaa vs Al-Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl-Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo76% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 30% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Gharraf win (26.2%)Dupla Chance1X73.8%1.36
Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%Goals 2.5Abaixo76%1.32
Sim 33% · Não 67%Ambas as equipes marcamNão67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Empate30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al-Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Mandante share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 24% · Abaixo 76%

Al-Gharraf0.82

Visitante share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 33% · Não 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Al-Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl-Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Gharraf signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al-Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa ganhou 44%,Empate 30%,Al-Gharraf ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Acima 2.5 24% · Current selection Abaixo