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INT Ιράκ - Stars League · Αγώνας ·

Αλ Μινάα vs Αλ Γκαράφ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου44%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Αλ ΜινάαΑλ Γκαράφ
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω76% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
44% / 30% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλ Γκαράφ win (26.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.8%1.36
Άνω 24% · Κάτω 76%Goals 2.5Κάτω76%1.32
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.0 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapΑλ Μινάα winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Αλ Μινάα win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Αλ Γκαράφ win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Αλ Μινάα0.86

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 24% · Κάτω 76%

Αλ Γκαράφ0.82

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Αλ Μινάα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλ Γκαράφ

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Αλ ΜινάαΑλ Γκαράφ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Αλ Μινάα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλ Γκαράφ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Αλ Μινάα vs Αλ Γκαράφ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Αλ Μινάα νίκη 44%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Αλ Γκαράφ νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · Άνω 2.5 24% · Current selection Κάτω