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INT Iraq Stars League · Maç ·

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.68 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır44%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Expected goals1.68Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt76% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
44% / 30% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Gharraf win (26.2%)Çifte Şans1X73.8%1.36
Üst 24% · Alt 76%Goals 2.5Alt76%1.32
Evet 33% · Hayır 67%Karşılıklı gol varHayır67%1.49
1.68 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.0 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapAl Minaa winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Minaa win44%2.272.0045.1%-1.1 pp
Beraberlik30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Al Gharraf win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Minaa0.86

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 51.2%

Total expected goals1.68Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 24% · Alt 76%

Al Gharraf0.82

Deplasman share of expected goals 48.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 33% · Hayır 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Al Minaa

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Al Gharraf

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
8
0.86
Expected goals
0.82
Al MinaaAl Gharraf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Minaa signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Gharraf signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Al Minaa vs Al Gharraf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Minaa kazanç 44%,Beraberlik 30%,Al Gharraf kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.68 · 2.5 Üst 24% · Current selection Alt