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INT Iraq Stars League · Fixture ·

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Away form
Home win61%
Draw24%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win61% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al Quwa Al JawiyaGhaz Al Shamal
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
61% / 24% / 16%Match resultHome win61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ghaz Al Shamal win (15.7%)Double chance1X84.3%1.19
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Quwa Al Jawiya win61%1.641.4262.8%
Draw24%4.173.9022.9%
Ghaz Al Shamal win16%6.256.2514.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1.58

Home share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Ghaz Al Shamal0.83

Away share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ghaz Al Shamal

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
11
Points from supplied form
1
1.58
Expected goals
0.83
Al Quwa Al JawiyaGhaz Al Shamal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Quwa Al Jawiya signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ghaz Al Shamal signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya win 61%,Draw 24%,Ghaz Al Shamal win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under