Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (21.9%)Double chance1X78.1%1.28
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
NEC win55%1.82
Draw23%4.35
Telstar win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 67%
Total expected goals3.82Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%
Away share of expected goals 33%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchNEC
DLWWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchTelstar
LLWWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
72.56
Expected goals
1.26NECTelstar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
NEC vs Telstar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
NEC win 55%，Draw 23%，Telstar win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.82 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over。