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NLD Нидерланды - Эредивизи · Матч ·

НЕК vs Телстар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев55%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей22%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев55% selection probability
Projected score3–1НЕКТелстар
Expected goals3.82Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше73% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
55% / 23% / 22%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Телстар win (21.9%)Двойной шанс1X78.1%1.28
Больше 73% · Меньше 27%Goals 2.5Больше73%1.37
Да 66% · Нет 34%Обе забьютДа66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
10.6 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
НЕК win55%1.82
Ничья23%4.35
Телстар win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

НЕК2.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 73% · Меньше 27%

Телстар1.26

Гости share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 66% · Нет 34%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

НЕК

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Телстар

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
НЕКТелстар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01НЕК signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Телстар signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

НЕК vs Телстар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

НЕК выигрыш 55%,Ничья 23%,Телстар выигрыш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · ТБ 2.5 73% · Current selection Больше