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NLD Niederlande - Eredivisie · Spiel ·

NEC vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg16%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score3–1NECTelstar
Expected goals3.82Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über73% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 21% / 16%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (15.9%)Doppelte Chance1X84.1%1.19
Über 73% · Unter 27%Goals 2.5Über73%1.37
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapNEC winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NEC win63%1.591.5063.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp
Telstar win16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC2.56

Heim share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 73% · Unter 27%

Telstar1.26

Auswärts share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

NEC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NECTelstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NEC vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 21%,Telstar Gewinn 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Über 2.5 73% · Current selection Über