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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

NEC vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score3–1NECTelstar
Expected goals3.82Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 23% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (21.9%)Podwójna szansa1X78.1%1.28
Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%Goals 2.5Powyżej73%1.37
Tak 66% · Nie 34%Obie drużyny strzeląTak66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–1
10.6 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
NEC win55%1.82
Remis23%4.35
Telstar win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC2.56

Gospodarze share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%

Telstar1.26

Goście share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitTak 66% · Nie 34%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

NEC

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NECTelstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

NEC vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC wygrana 55%,Remis 23%,Telstar wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Powyżej 2.5 73% · Current selection Powyżej