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NEC vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier63%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier16%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier63% selection probability
Projected score3–1NECTelstar
Expected goals3.82Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
63% / 21% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (15.9%)Dobbel sjanse1X84.1%1.19
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 66% · Nei 34%Begge lag scorerJa66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapNEC winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NEC win63%1.591.5063.2%-0.2 pp
Uavgjort21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp
Telstar win16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC2.56

Hjemme share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Telstar1.26

Borte share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nei 34%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

NEC

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NECTelstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NEC vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC vunnet 63%,Uavgjort 21%,Telstar vunnet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over