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NLD Nederlandene - Eredivisie · Kamp ·

NEC vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score3–1NECTelstar
Expected goals3.82Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (21.9%)Dobbeltchance1X78.1%1.28
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Begge hold scorerJa66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
NEC win55%1.82
Uafgjort23%4.35
Telstar win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC2.56

Hjemme share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Telstar1.26

Ude share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

NEC

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NECTelstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

NEC vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC vundet 55%,Uafgjort 23%,Telstar vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over