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NLD 荷蘭甲級聯賽 · ·

NEC尼美根 vs 特士達

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝63%
21%
客勝16%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝63% selection probability
Projected score3–1NEC尼美根特士達
Expected goals3.82初盤 match profile
Goals 2.573% for the selected side
雙方進球66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
63% / 21% / 16%比賽結果主勝63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 特士達 win (15.9%)雙勝彩1X84.1%1.19
大 73% · 小 27%Goals 2.573%1.37
是 66% · 否 34%雙方進球66%1.52
3.82 total expected goals正確比分3–1
10.6 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapNEC尼美根 winDifference-0.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NEC尼美根 win63%1.591.5063.2%-0.2 pp
21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp
特士達 win16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NEC尼美根2.56

主隊 share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82初盤

Dedicated goals model: 73% · 27%

特士達1.26

客隊 share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 66% · 34%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

NEC尼美根

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

特士達

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
贏 probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
NEC尼美根特士達
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NEC尼美根 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02特士達 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

NEC尼美根 vs 特士達 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NEC尼美根 63%, 21%,特士達 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · 大2.5 73% · Current selection